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Trader profile

ydxistheking

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$27.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.7%104 settled · past 180 days28 open · 14% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded287Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+27.1% / $95% interval −250.9% to +305.2%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+47.8%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.7% · Decided 104 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$17K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$21.3K
Concentration
39.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
59
Showing the largest 8 of 59
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$6.6KPnL+$254Avg88¢Current91.5¢7,266.71Shares
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NoValue$3.3KPnL+$279Avg81¢Current88.5¢3,722.56Shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
YesValue$2.1KPnL−$45Avg51.6¢Current50.5¢4,148.64Shares
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$388Avg43.7¢Current62¢2,117.3Shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$216Avg76¢Current95.5¢1,108.37Shares
Will there be 5 or fewer UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?
NoValue$419PnL+$197Avg52.5¢Current99.1¢422.83Shares
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
NoValue$402PnL+$15Avg84.6¢Current88¢456.44Shares
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$290PnL+$25Avg80¢Current87.5¢331.76Shares
Showing 8 of 59 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ydxistheking: 58.7% win rate over 104 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +27.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −250.9%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+47.8% over 13 fills); +$27.2K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.