PolyTrace
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Trader profile

-Ciguli-

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$9.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Positions repeatedly closed near their entry price24 open · >99% underwater · 35 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$1.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded8,744Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.2% / $95% interval −4.0% to +3.6%56 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−0.3%n=50 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Flat-price round trips dominate this sample, so no win rate is shown.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete35 minutes ago
Current position value
$296
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17.8K
Concentration
10.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
84
Showing the largest 8 of 84
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 24?
NoValue$30PnL+$0.05Avg99.8¢Current100¢30.05Shares
Jackson Kent: Strikeouts O/U 2.5
OverValue$25PnL−$25Avg99.9¢Current50¢50.05Shares
Jackson Kent: Strikeouts O/U 1.5
OverValue$25PnL−$25Avg99.9¢Current50¢50.05Shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 24?
NoValue$20PnL+$0.02Avg99.9¢Current100¢20.03Shares
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 24?
NoValue$20PnL+$0.01Avg99.9¢Current100¢20.02Shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 23?
NoValue$20PnL+$0.01Avg99.9¢Current100¢20.02Shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 24?
NoValue$20PnL+$0.01Avg99.9¢Current100¢20.02Shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 23?
NoValue$20PnL+$0.01Avg99.9¢Current100¢20.02Shares
Showing 8 of 84 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet -Ciguli-: edge −0.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −4.0%, n=56 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−0.3% over 50 fills); −$9.7K lifetime P&L, $1.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.