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Trader profile

northerndancer

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$145.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate38.7%119 settled · past 180 days
Lifetime volume$6.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded115Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.2% / $95% interval −44.3% to −2.1%144 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−23.2%n=144 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.7% · Decided 119 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
$0
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
0
All shown
No current positions

The confirmed portfolio snapshot returned an empty book.

Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet northerndancer: 38.7% win rate over 119 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −23.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −44.3%, n=144 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−23.2% over 144 fills); −$145.4K lifetime P&L, $6.8M traded, updated 2026-09-21.