PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Eire

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$36.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.8%236 settled · past 90 days54 open · 94% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded470Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.4% / $95% interval −40.8% to +30.0%27 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−4.9%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.8% · Decided 236 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$54.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$14.6K
Concentration
44.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
58
Showing the largest 8 of 58
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$24.3KPnL−$12.6KAvg61.5¢Current40.5¢60,000.28Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$14.9KPnL+$429Avg85¢Current87.5¢17,023.33Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$212Avg94.5¢Current99.3¢4,500Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$2.5KPnL−$467Avg83.6¢Current70.5¢3,573.21Shares
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
YesValue$2.2KPnL+$66Avg87¢Current89.8¢2,399.99Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
NoValue$1.4KPnL−$592Avg81¢Current56.5¢2,416Shares
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$4Avg89.3¢Current89¢1,260.15Shares
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
NoValue$681PnL−$5Avg95.9¢Current95.2¢715.86Shares
Showing 8 of 58 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Eire: 64.8% win rate over 236 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −5.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −40.8%, n=27 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−4.9% over 11 fills); −$36.3K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.