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Trader profile

xoua

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$14.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 8 settled so far7 open · 50% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded88Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$41.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$47.6K
Concentration
36.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$15.4KPnL−$192Avg78¢Current77¢20,000Shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
NoValue$9.2KPnL+$250Avg89¢Current91.5¢10,000.03Shares
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
NoValue$5.6KPnL+$299Avg88.5¢Current93.5¢6,007.82Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$4.6KPnL+$1.4KAvg63¢Current92¢4,999.95Shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$3.5KPnL+$728Avg55.1¢Current69.5¢5,069.2Shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
NoValue$3.2KPnL+$117Avg95¢Current98.6¢3,287.13Shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$330PnL−$2.7KAvg30¢Current3.3¢10,000Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
NoValue$0PnL−$3KAvg30¢Current0¢10,000Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet xoua: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$14.5K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.