PolyTrace
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Trader profile

88M

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$18.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate38.5%857 settled · past 180 days2 open · >99% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded829Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+5.4% / $95% interval −80.4% to +91.1%245 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+4.8%n=241 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.5% · Decided 857 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$4.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$399.3K
Concentration
90.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
402
Showing the largest 8 of 402
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Ankara: Elena Pridankina vs Ksenia Zaytseva
Elena Pridankina · YesValue$4.1KPnL−$2.8KAvg38.2¢Current22.5¢18,023.28Shares
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$430PnL+$10Avg21¢Current21.5¢2,000Shares
Generali Open: Alexandre Muller vs Mariano Navone
Alexandre Muller · YesValue$0PnL−$581Avg28¢Current0¢2,074.68Shares
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-15?
YesValue$0PnL−$270Avg27¢Current0¢999.99Shares
Korea Open: Darya Astakhova vs Magda Linette
Magda Linette · NoValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg50.4¢Current0¢3,048.1Shares
Shanghai: Linang Xiao vs Kaichi Uchida
Kaichi Uchida · NoValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg53.5¢Current0¢2,024.57Shares
Vancouver: Jay Dylan Friend vs J.J. Wolf
Jay Dylan Friend · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg15.5¢Current0¢6,503.89Shares
Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC · YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg1¢Current0¢161.05Shares
Showing 8 of 402 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 88M: 38.5% win rate over 857 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +5.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −80.4%, n=245 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+4.8% over 241 fills); +$18.4K lifetime P&L, $7.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.