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Trader profile

Runner12

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rateNot measured yet0 open · 11 days ago
Lifetime volume$445.7K554 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded289Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.7% / $95% interval −267.7% to +273.1%94 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+6.7%n=31 settled
Sports
−0.2%n=63 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.9K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
7
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg49.9¢Current3,981.63Shares
B8 · NoValue$0PnL−$85Avg50.9¢Current167.06Shares
Pavel Kotov · YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg30¢Current5,152.03Shares
FURIA · YesValue$0PnL−$291Avg52.8¢Current550.65Shares
Genaro Alberto Olivieri · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg25¢Current4,000Shares
Matias Soto · YesValue$0PnL−$3KAvg38¢Current7,867.47Shares
Anastasia Tikhonova · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg48¢Current2,083.33Shares
All 7 positions shown
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Runner12: edge +2.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −267.7%, n=94 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−0.2% over 63 fills); −$1.2K lifetime P&L, $445.7K traded, updated 2026-09-23.