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Trader profile

johnthek

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$1.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet86 open · 30% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$449.7K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,569Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+12.5% / $95% interval −2.6% to +27.5%11 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+12.6%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$3.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$19.6K
Concentration
29.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,948
Showing the largest 8 of 1,948
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$966PnL+$26Avg94¢Current96.6¢1,000Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
NoValue$957PnL+$37Avg92¢Current95.7¢1,000Shares
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$176PnL+$23Avg82¢Current94.5¢186.64Shares
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
NoValue$175PnL+$33Avg56.5¢Current69.5¢251.09Shares
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$109PnL+$11Avg52.9¢Current58.5¢187.02Shares
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?
YesValue$88PnL+$33Avg51.7¢Current83.5¢105.16Shares
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
NoValue$50PnL+$2Avg90.2¢Current94.9¢52.71Shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$48PnL−$3Avg26.3¢Current25¢193.19Shares
Showing 8 of 1,948 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet johnthek: edge +12.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −2.6%, n=11 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+12.6% over 10 fills); −$1.8K lifetime P&L, $449.7K traded, updated 2026-09-20.