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Trader profile

tkenmn

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$31KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…1 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded151Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−44.3% / $95% interval −158.9% to +70.3%63 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−45.0%n=61 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$135
Snapshot cash PnL
−$115.2K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
66
Showing the largest 8 of 66
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$135PnL−$99Avg3.9¢Current2.3¢6,011.51Shares
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
YesValue$0PnL−$15.6KAvg19.5¢Current0¢79,928.95Shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
NoValue$0PnL−$7.5KAvg32.3¢Current0¢23,198.9Shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$444Avg5.6¢Current0¢7,989.92Shares
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
France · YesValue$0PnL−$335Avg33.5¢Current0¢1,000.53Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery
Flavio Cobolli · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg72¢Current0¢138.89Shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$15Avg0.9¢Current0¢1,746.28Shares
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
YesValue$0PnL−$7Avg1¢Current0¢744.8Shares
Showing 8 of 66 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet tkenmn: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −44.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −158.9%, n=63 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−45.0% over 61 fills); −$31K lifetime P&L, $2.2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.