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Trader profile

D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$66.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate71.3%2,111 settled · past 180 days460 open · 46% underwater · 17 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,289Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+76.8% / $95% interval −197.1% to +350.8%96 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+132.4%n=53 settled
Finance
−22.4%n=26 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 71.3% · Decided 2,111 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded17 hours ago
Current position value
$180.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$2.6K
Concentration
2.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
460
Showing the largest 8 of 460
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$103Avg83.7¢Current85.5¢5,555.47Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$312Avg65.8¢Current70.5¢6,666Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$3.3KPnL+$1KAvg40.5¢Current58.9¢5,588.38Shares
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
NoValue$3KPnL+$181Avg88.4¢Current94.1¢3,192.76Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$3KPnL+$356Avg87.2¢Current99.1¢3,000.02Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$2.9KPnL+$636Avg74¢Current95.2¢3,000.06Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.8KPnL+$674Avg53.4¢Current70.5¢3,946.07Shares
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
NoValue$2.6KPnL+$20Avg97.4¢Current98.2¢2,612.81Shares
Showing 8 of 460 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935: 71.3% win rate over 2,111 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +76.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −197.1%, n=96 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+132.4% over 53 fills); +$66.3K lifetime P&L, $9.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.