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Trader profile

balerinacapuchina

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$28.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.6%42 settled · past 180 days92 open · 50% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded206Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.6% · Decided 42 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$179.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5K
Concentration
91.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
114
Showing the largest 8 of 114
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$164.5KPnL+$80.9KAvg50¢Current98.5¢167,052.39Shares
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
YesValue$5.9KPnL+$75Avg74.1¢Current75¢7,916.62Shares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$2.6KPnL−$80.9KAvg50¢Current1.6¢167,052.39Shares
Kanye West arrested in Russia by October 31?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$15Avg98¢Current99.1¢1,413.91Shares
Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$481Avg65.4¢Current99.7¢1,402.57Shares
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$191Avg82.7¢Current99.4¢1,149.66Shares
Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
YesValue$712PnL+$228Avg66.9¢Current98.5¢722.84Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$699PnL+$47Avg92.5¢Current99.3¢704.66Shares
Showing 8 of 114 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet balerinacapuchina: 47.6% win rate over 42 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$28.1K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.