PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Strarper

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate78.4%51 settled · past 180 days5 open · 43% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$856.4K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded169Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.6% / $95% interval −72.1% to +60.8%21 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−5.6%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 78.4% · Decided 51 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$6.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$839
Concentration
35.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
7
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$2.2KPnL+$432Avg36.5¢Current45.5¢4,796.94Shares
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$705Avg27.5¢Current19.5¢8,811.3Shares
YesValue$940PnL+$151Avg78.9¢Current94¢1,000Shares
YesValue$851PnL+$205Avg71.7¢Current94.5¢900Shares
YesValue$447PnL+$140Avg60.9¢Current88.5¢505.64Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$239Avg94.4¢Current253Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$823Avg53.1¢Current1,550.86Shares
All 7 positions shown
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Strarper: 78.4% win rate over 51 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −5.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −72.1%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−5.6% over 21 fills); +$1.9K lifetime P&L, $856.4K traded, updated 2026-09-21.