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Trader profile

pathos12

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$19Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet23 open · 79% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$484K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded46Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.3K
Concentration
23%
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
YesValue$924PnL−$411Avg74.4¢Current51.5¢1,794.55Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
YesValue$599PnL+$286Avg14.9¢Current28.5¢2,099.99Shares
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
YesValue$407PnL−$135Avg11.3¢Current8.5¢4,784.82Shares
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
NoValue$275PnL+$11Avg88¢Current91.5¢300Shares
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$264PnL−$243Avg5.9¢Current3.1¢8,656.92Shares
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$240PnL+$6Avg1.9¢Current2¢12,300Shares
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YesValue$217PnL−$56Avg3.8¢Current3.1¢7,099.98Shares
Will AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
YesValue$164PnL−$37Avg26.4¢Current21.5¢762.48Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet pathos12: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$19 lifetime P&L, $484K traded, updated 2026-09-19.