PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xd771…489f

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$41.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.2%197 settled · past 180 days21 open · 95% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$277.6K664 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded246Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.0% / $95% interval −290.0% to +288.0%19 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−1.0%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.2% · Decided 197 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$4.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$40.7K
Concentration
44%
Largest share of value
Positions
34
Showing the largest 8 of 34
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
NoValue$1.9KPnL−$1.1KAvg70.5¢Current44.5¢4,252.48Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
NoValue$605PnL−$855Avg51.9¢Current21.5¢2,816.16Shares
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
NoValue$542PnL+$14Avg68.7¢Current70.5¢768.84Shares
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
NoValue$512PnL+$39Avg90.5¢Current97.9¢523.41Shares
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
YesValue$193PnL+$19Avg83¢Current92¢209.81Shares
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$102PnL+$42Avg18.4¢Current31.5¢323.9Shares
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
NoValue$83PnL−$6Avg85.6¢Current80¢103.58Shares
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
YesValue$69PnL−$56Avg29¢Current16¢430.45Shares
Showing 8 of 34 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xd7718b8cf5e6a9f5f8c38ced76ff3148a1c3489f: 47.2% win rate over 197 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −1.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −290.0%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−1.0% over 19 fills); −$41.4K lifetime P&L, $277.6K traded, updated 2026-09-23.