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Trader profile

Marsache

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.6%79 settled · past 180 days3 open · 26% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$361.1K463 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded111Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+7.2% / $95% interval −164.9% to +179.2%52 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+9.9%n=36 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.6% · Decided 79 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$3.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$9.5K
Concentration
61.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
22
Showing the largest 8 of 22
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$1.9KPnL−$92Avg92.8¢Current88.5¢2,155.59Shares
YesValue$747PnL+$247Avg25.4¢Current38¢1,965.38Shares
NoValue$447PnL+$14Avg96.2¢Current99.4¢450.06Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg95.8¢Current522.18Shares
76ers · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg13.3¢Current74.92Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$46Avg31¢Current149.72Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$4.2KAvg51.4¢Current8,179.03Shares
UpValue$0PnL−$100Avg59¢Current169.49Shares
Showing 8 of 22 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Marsache: 64.6% win rate over 79 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +7.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −164.9%, n=52 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+9.9% over 36 fills); −$2K lifetime P&L, $361.1K traded, updated 2026-09-23.