PolyTrace
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Trader profile

1922

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$147.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate64.2%2,566 settled · past 180 days11 open · 50% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$19.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded663Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+27.7% / $95% interval +9.1% to +46.2%84 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+27.7%n=84 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 64.2% · Decided 2,566 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded8 hours ago
Current position value
$181.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$304.7K
Concentration
65.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
396
Showing the largest 8 of 396
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$119KPnL+$44KAvg50¢Current79.4¢150,000Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$31KPnL−$44KAvg50¢Current20.7¢150,000Shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
NoValue$25.7KPnL+$635Avg86.3¢Current88.5¢29,052.48Shares
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
NoValue$4.6KPnL+$225Avg87¢Current91.5¢5,000Shares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YesValue$595PnL+$154Avg10¢Current13.5¢4,410.03Shares
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$129PnL+$56Avg18.5¢Current32.5¢397.98Shares
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$116PnL+$54Avg31¢Current58.2¢200Shares
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YesValue$51PnL−$534Avg9.7¢Current0.9¢6,055.9Shares
Showing 8 of 396 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 1922: 64.2% win rate over 2,566 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +27.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +9.1%, n=84 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+27.7% over 84 fills); +$147.3K lifetime P&L, $19.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.