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Trader profile

thegreatjeff

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$215.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.8%34 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.8M253 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded38Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+7.2% / $95% interval −13.0% to +27.4%61 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+41.3%n=17 settled
Sports
−13.1%n=44 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 31 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.8% · Decided 34 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$47.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$717.4K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$47.3KPnL−$2.7KAvg91.3¢Current86.5¢54,706.27Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$31KAvg16.8¢Current184,943.93Shares
France · YesValue$0PnL−$125.2KAvg59.7¢Current209,610.99Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$200KAvg56.7¢Current352,422.91Shares
Mexico · YesValue$0PnL−$100KAvg49¢Current204,081.63Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg85.3¢Current1,171.79Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$26.1KAvg10¢Current261,751.36Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$6.4KAvg64¢Current10,000Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet thegreatjeff: 58.8% win rate over 34 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +7.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −13.0%, n=61 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+41.3% over 17 fills); −$215.2K lifetime P&L, $4.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.