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Trader profile

ArthurGreen

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$10.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate39.3%219 settled · past 180 days30 open · 22% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded872Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 39.3% · Decided 219 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$2.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$26K
Concentration
26.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
312
Showing the largest 8 of 312
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$742PnL+$61Avg70.7¢Current77¢963Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
NoValue$565PnL+$309Avg23.7¢Current52.5¢1,075.24Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$343PnL+$60Avg26¢Current31.5¢1,090Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
NoValue$325PnL+$183Avg8.6¢Current19.6¢1,657Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$176PnL+$83Avg9.3¢Current17.5¢1,004.72Shares
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?
YesValue$159PnL+$59Avg18.5¢Current29.5¢540.29Shares
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit?
YesValue$98PnL+$27Avg1.3¢Current1.8¢5,610.7Shares
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$97PnL−$8Avg14.6¢Current13.5¢720Shares
Showing 8 of 312 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ArthurGreen: 39.3% win rate over 219 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$10.5K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.