PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Optimus-

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$114.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…132 open · 54% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,665Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+40.0% / $95% interval −4.0% to +83.9%50 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
+74.9%n=13 settled
Sports
+39.8%n=10 settled
Politics
−4.5%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$79.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.4K
Concentration
13%
Largest share of value
Positions
132
Showing the largest 8 of 132
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$10.3KPnL+$3.8KAvg50¢Current79.4¢13,000Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
NoValue$4.6KPnL+$225Avg88¢Current92.5¢4,999.98Shares
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
YesValue$4.3KPnL+$533Avg62.2¢Current71¢6,043.73Shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
YesValue$3.7KPnL−$1.1KAvg23.9¢Current18.5¢20,213.13Shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?
YesValue$3.3KPnL+$355Avg58.4¢Current65.5¢4,969.43Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$3.3KPnL+$652Avg52.4¢Current65.5¢4,964.29Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$3.1KPnL+$364Avg81.8¢Current92.5¢3,400Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
NoValue$2.9KPnL+$201Avg70.3¢Current75.5¢3,842.49Shares
Showing 8 of 132 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Optimus-: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +40.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −4.0%, n=50 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (+74.9% over 13 fills); +$114.5K lifetime P&L, $3.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.