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Trader profile

xiaoguapi

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$50.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded525Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.2% / $95% interval −287.5% to +261.0%114 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.2%n=71 settled
Unmapped
−17.2%n=43 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$40.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
48
Showing the largest 8 of 48
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
Nongshim Esports Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$84Avg74.9¢Current0¢112.75Shares
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Phantom Academy - Map 1 Winner
Phantom Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$16Avg16¢Current0¢100.87Shares
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 3 Winner
G2 · YesValue$0PnL−$798Avg46¢Current0¢1,733.75Shares
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
TheMongolzValue$0PnL−$68Avg34¢Current0¢200.58Shares
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner
G2 Ares · NoValue$0PnL−$61Avg19.6¢Current0¢312.79Shares
Counter-Strike: Brute vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner
Brute · YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg40¢Current0¢10.3Shares
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner
FOKUSValue$0PnL−$224Avg62.9¢Current0¢356Shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
MOUZ · YesValue$0PnL−$5.2KAvg64.8¢Current0¢8,077.19Shares
Showing 8 of 48 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet xiaoguapi: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −13.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −287.5%, n=114 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.2% over 71 fills); −$50.9K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.