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Trader profile

Bubbleman

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$12.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 17 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,249Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−50.0% / $95% interval −315.6% to +215.6%15 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−42.3%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
ITF Fano: Federico Arnaboldi vs Niccolo Ciavarella
Niccolo Ciavarella · NoValue$0PnL−$92Avg16.8¢Current0¢547.37Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4?
YesValue$0PnL−$180Avg10.6¢Current0¢1,695.77Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 4?
YesValue$0PnL−$20Avg1¢Current0¢1,964.92Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 28?
NoValue$0PnL−$20Avg1.5¢Current0¢1,287.29Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 30?
YesValue$0PnL−$290Avg13.1¢Current0¢2,213.65Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 4?
YesValue$0PnL−$26Avg1.3¢Current0¢1,992.17Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 13?
YesValue$0PnL−$38Avg2.7¢Current0¢1,417.7Shares
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5?
YesValue$0PnL−$92Avg2.7¢Current0¢3,398.74Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Bubbleman: edge −50.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −315.6%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−42.3% over 11 fills); −$12.3K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-20.