PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

HEBI55

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$8.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate82.8%29 settled · past 180 days18 open · 76% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded53Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.8% / $95% interval −215.2% to +199.5%21 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−7.8%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 82.8% · Decided 29 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$14.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$763
Concentration
29.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
YesValue$4.4KPnL−$992Avg52.1¢Current42.5¢10,377.03Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
NoValue$977PnL−$3Avg98¢Current97.7¢1,000Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
NoValue$972PnL+$42Avg93¢Current97.2¢1,000Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
NoValue$970PnL+$30Avg94¢Current97¢1,000Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
NoValue$945PnL+$5Avg94¢Current94.5¢1,000Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
NoValue$929PnL+$47Avg88.2¢Current92.9¢1,000Shares
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
Anthropic · YesValue$880PnL−$40Avg92¢Current88¢1,000Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$785PnL−$35Avg82¢Current78.5¢999.98Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HEBI55: 82.8% win rate over 29 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −7.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −215.2%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−7.8% over 21 fills); +$8.3K lifetime P&L, $1M traded, updated 2026-09-22.