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Trader profile

Rocky0420

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet13 open · 62% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$289.7K512 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded138Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−5.0% / $95% interval −392.4% to +382.5%10 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$6.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.2K
Concentration
29.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$2KPnL+$481Avg70.3¢Current92.6¢2,158.29Shares
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$257Avg72.6¢Current90.4¢1,445.46Shares
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?
NoValue$915PnL+$15Avg85.6¢Current87¢1,051.34Shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$732PnL+$138Avg74.7¢Current92¢795.14Shares
Will Seattle have between 1 and 1.5 inches of precipitation in September?
NoValue$432PnL+$32Avg58.8¢Current63.5¢679.81Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$379PnL−$71Avg54¢Current45.5¢833.33Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$351PnL+$51Avg85¢Current99.4¢352.94Shares
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
YesValue$338PnL+$292Avg13.7¢Current99.3¢340.72Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Rocky0420: edge −5.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −392.4%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days); +$1.6K lifetime P&L, $289.7K traded, updated 2026-09-23.