PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

ComingBack

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$657.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.7%1,470 settled · past 90 days8 open · 94% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$56.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,911Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.8% / $95% interval −14.2% to −1.4%1,206 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
−3.9%n=52 settled
Sports
−7.9%n=1,151 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.7% · Decided 1,470 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$14.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.5M
Concentration
23.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
868
Showing the largest 8 of 868
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?
NoValue$3.3KPnL+$310Avg63¢Current69.5¢4,761.9Shares
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5
Over · YesValue$2.4KPnL−$554Avg43.5¢Current35.5¢6,898.19Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
NoValue$2.4KPnL−$1.3KAvg83.9¢Current55¢4,412.07Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
NoValue$2.2KPnL−$1.5KAvg65¢Current39¢5,692.31Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
NoValue$2.2KPnL−$1.5KAvg74¢Current43.5¢5,001.96Shares
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$38Avg69.8¢Current71.5¢2,258.77Shares
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
YesValue$87PnL−$213Avg19¢Current5.5¢1,580Shares
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$2PnL+$0.05Avg1.6¢Current1.7¢103.14Shares
Showing 8 of 868 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ComingBack: 46.7% win rate over 1,470 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −14.2%, n=1,206 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−7.9% over 1,151 fills); −$657.7K lifetime P&L, $56.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.