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Trader profile

Capone.Nik

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$6.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet3 open · 100% underwater · 28 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$120.8K868 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded776Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+11.1% / $95% interval +3.3% to +18.9%13 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete28 minutes ago
Current position value
$2.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$13.7K
Concentration
66.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
324
Showing the largest 8 of 324
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$1.9KPnL−$65Avg89.4¢Current86.5¢2,237.13Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$495PnL−$5Avg87.4¢Current86.5¢572.32Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$476PnL−$24Avg59.4¢Current56.6¢841.75Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$4Avg49¢Current0¢8.16Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
UpValue$0PnL−$3Avg50¢Current0¢6Shares
Johor Darul Ta'zim vs. Buriram United: O/U 2.5
OverValue$0PnL−$200Avg81¢Current0¢246.91Shares
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner
Vitality · YesValue$0PnL−$150Avg82.6¢Current0¢181.51Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg56¢Current0¢17.86Shares
Showing 8 of 324 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Capone.Nik: edge +11.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +3.3%, n=13 settled fills over 90 days); +$6.7K lifetime P&L, $120.8K traded, updated 2026-09-24.