PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Saltyballs

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$176.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate43.6%62 settled · past 90 days14 open · 7% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded798Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−26.9% / $95% interval −127.2% to +73.3%25 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−26.9%n=25 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 43.6% · Decided 62 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$41.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$493
Concentration
52.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
35
Showing the largest 8 of 35
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
YesValue$21.5KPnL+$569Avg81.8¢Current84¢25,633.73Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$9.1KPnL+$468Avg90.5¢Current95.4¢9,515.01Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
YesValue$5.4KPnL+$117Avg74.8¢Current76.5¢7,034.02Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$2.4KPnL+$117Avg89¢Current93.5¢2,600.01Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$1.2KPnL−$3Avg29.6¢Current29.5¢4,179.53Shares
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
YesValue$834PnL+$217Avg8.7¢Current11.8¢7,098.47Shares
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30?
NoValue$276PnL−$15Avg12.6¢Current12¢2,297.37Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
YesValue$159PnL−$71Avg44.2¢Current30.5¢520.54Shares
Showing 8 of 35 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Saltyballs: 43.6% win rate over 62 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −26.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −127.2%, n=25 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−26.9% over 25 fills); +$176.6K lifetime P&L, $9.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.