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Trader profile

KrackenSruster

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$266.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate69.7%66 settled · past 90 days41 open · 3% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$7.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded527Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.2% / $95% interval −185.5% to +171.1%24 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+0.6%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 69.7% · Decided 66 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$300.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$54.6K
Concentration
13%
Largest share of value
Positions
41
Showing the largest 8 of 41
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$38.9KPnL+$8.8KAvg54.5¢Current70.5¢55,146.08Shares
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
NoValue$36KPnL+$7.1KAvg76.6¢Current95.5¢37,653.49Shares
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
NoValue$34.7KPnL+$7.7KAvg72.8¢Current93.5¢37,101.46Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$29.2KPnL+$3.1KAvg74.6¢Current83.5¢35,003.5Shares
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?
NoValue$17.7KPnL+$907Avg91.2¢Current96.1¢18,407.39Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$15.4KPnL+$2.6KAvg79.5¢Current95.5¢16,122.43Shares
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?
NoValue$14.5KPnL+$5.9KAvg47.3¢Current79.5¢18,241.26Shares
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
YesValue$14.1KPnL+$1KAvg85.7¢Current92.5¢15,242.23Shares
Showing 8 of 41 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet KrackenSruster: 69.7% win rate over 66 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −7.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −185.5%, n=24 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+0.6% over 21 fills); +$266.2K lifetime P&L, $7.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.