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Trader profile

Matthsew

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$22KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate66.7%54 settled · past 180 days3 open · 0% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$373.4K582 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded64Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.7% / $95% interval −22.3% to +18.9%21 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−1.7%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 66.7% · Decided 54 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$763
Snapshot cash PnL
−$45.4K
Concentration
40.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
18
Showing the largest 8 of 18
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
NoValue$306PnL+$10Avg86¢Current89¢344Shares
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
NoValue$231PnL+$11Avg88¢Current92.5¢250Shares
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$226PnL+$15Avg83¢Current89¢254Shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
YesValue$0PnL−$3.3KAvg65.1¢Current0¢5,000Shares
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner
Dplus KIA Challengers · YesValue$0PnL−$725Avg14.5¢Current0¢4,999.95Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Bilibili Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$6.4KAvg64.5¢Current0¢9,999.98Shares
LoL: 4 SWINES & A BUM vs Ruddy Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Season
Ruddy EsportsValue$0PnL−$962Avg26¢Current0¢3,700Shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
YesValue$0PnL−$5.5KAvg54.8¢Current0¢10,000Shares
Showing 8 of 18 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Matthsew: 66.7% win rate over 54 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −1.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −22.3%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−1.7% over 21 fills); +$22K lifetime P&L, $373.4K traded, updated 2026-09-20.