PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xd3f9…45a7

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$28.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.5%1,028 settled · past 180 days7 open · 16% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,232Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+48.4% / $95% interval −369.5% to +466.3%26 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+48.4%n=26 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.5% · Decided 1,028 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$217
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.6K
Concentration
93.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
95
Showing the largest 8 of 95
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Mirra Andreeva · YesValue$202PnL+$1Avg89¢Current89.5¢225.83Shares
Chengdu Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Yi Zhou
Juan Manuel CerundoloValue$10PnL−$0.22Avg67¢Current65.5¢15Shares
Korea Open: Da-Yeon Back vs Maya Joint
Maya Joint · NoValue$1PnL+$0.28Avg78¢Current100¢1.28Shares
Porto: Maria Timofeeva vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson
Maria TimofeevaValue$0.99PnL−$0.01Avg82¢Current81.5¢1.22Shares
Tolentino: Isabella Maria Serban vs Rebeka Masarova
Rebeka MasarovaValue$0.99PnL−$0.01Avg89¢Current88.5¢1.12Shares
Singapore Open: Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandez
Leylah Fernandez · NoValue$0.99PnL−$0.01Avg73¢Current72.5¢1.37Shares
Hangzhou Open: Jie Cui vs Adolfo Vallejo
Adolfo Vallejo · NoValue$0.99PnL−$0.01Avg74¢Current73.5¢1.35Shares
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Guo/Mladenovic
Siniakova/Townsend · YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg91¢Current0¢1.1Shares
Showing 8 of 95 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xd3f9a532aaf64bd250e3b84b132b2c83152645a7: 58.5% win rate over 1,028 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +48.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −369.5%, n=26 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+48.4% over 26 fills); −$28.2K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.