PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Sunshine.Smile

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$376.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.5%1,201 settled · past 90 days3 open · 0% underwater · 35 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$31.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded712Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.2% / $95% interval −6.3% to +5.8%1,036 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+1.7%n=833 settled
Unmapped
−7.6%n=203 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.5% · Decided 1,201 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete35 minutes ago
Current position value
$66.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$31.9K
Concentration
86.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
11
Showing the largest 8 of 11
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
LGD Gaming · NoValue$57.5KPnL+$31.9KAvg44.5¢Current100¢57,499.98Shares
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
DN SOOPers Challengers · YesValue$9KPnL+$1.9KAvg68¢Current86¢10,439.63Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Natus Vincere · YesValue$141PnL+$141Avg0¢Current57.5¢246Shares
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner
Kalmychata · YesValue$0PnL−$9.1KAvg65.3¢Current0¢13,957.26Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
Team Nemesis · NoValue$0PnL−$7.5KAvg33.1¢Current0¢22,499.99Shares
Dota 2: 1win vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner
Pipsqueak+4 · NoValue$0PnL−$5.8KAvg38.5¢Current0¢15,000Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · YesValue$0PnL−$11.6KAvg42.8¢Current0¢27,095.64Shares
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
DN SOOPers Challengers · YesValue$0PnL−$2.8KAvg34.1¢Current0¢8,099.86Shares
Showing 8 of 11 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Sunshine.Smile: 56.5% win rate over 1,201 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −0.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.3%, n=1,036 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+1.7% over 833 fills); +$376.5K lifetime P&L, $31.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.