PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

operationcastle

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$547.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate21.4%42 settled · past 90 days13 open · 66% underwater · 20 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$16.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded268Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 21.4% · Decided 42 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete20 minutes ago
Current position value
$19.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.1K
Concentration
35.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$7KPnL+$550Avg65¢Current70.5¢9,999.88Shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$3.6KPnL+$66Avg97.1¢Current98.9¢3,676.48Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$2.8KPnL+$1.9KAvg22¢Current65.5¢4,309.99Shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
YesValue$1.5KPnL−$1.3KAvg26.4¢Current14.5¢10,613.54Shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$196Avg45¢Current52.5¢2,617.25Shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$250Avg3.5¢Current4.4¢29,357.8Shares
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$16Avg98.3¢Current99.9¢1,060.3Shares
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$685PnL+$60Avg5.7¢Current6.3¢10,959.35Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet operationcastle: 21.4% win rate over 42 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$547.3K lifetime P&L, $16.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.