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Trader profile

sdiff123

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$32.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…14 open · 26% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$18.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded537Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.8% / $95% interval −178.7% to +155.1%43 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.0%n=17 settled
Politics
−11.6%n=15 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$23.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$98.1K
Concentration
80.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
133
Showing the largest 8 of 133
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
NoValue$19.2KPnL−$209Avg97¢Current96¢20,000Shares
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?
NoValue$2.1KPnL+$241Avg87.5¢Current98.9¢2,122.63Shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?
YesValue$813PnL$0Avg53¢Current53¢1,534.62Shares
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$575PnL+$127Avg68.9¢Current88.5¢650Shares
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?
YesValue$375PnL+$150Avg44¢Current73.5¢510Shares
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?
NoValue$363PnL+$86Avg75¢Current98.3¢368.96Shares
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
NoValue$282PnL+$18Avg90¢Current96.2¢293.37Shares
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
NoValue$31PnL+$6Avg52¢Current63.5¢49.25Shares
Showing 8 of 133 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet sdiff123: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −11.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −178.7%, n=43 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.0% over 17 fills); −$32.1K lifetime P&L, $18.9M traded, updated 2026-09-22.