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Trader profile

Jest55

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$152.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…68 open · 13% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$6.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,060Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+3.3% / $95% interval −240.7% to +247.3%100 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+104.7%n=11 settled
Finance
+3.7%n=21 settled
Politics
−29.8%n=68 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$106.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$6.4K
Concentration
20.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
77
Showing the largest 8 of 77
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$21.5KPnL+$4.9KAvg72.4¢Current93.6¢22,929.18Shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
NoValue$19.9KPnL+$132Avg95.4¢Current96.1¢20,744.26Shares
Iran Nuke before 2027?
NoValue$12.8KPnL+$569Avg91.2¢Current95.5¢13,395.13Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$12.4KPnL+$176Avg97.9¢Current99.4¢12,446.86Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$8.4KPnL+$3KAvg50.9¢Current79.5¢10,597.99Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$4.5KPnL+$15Avg98.9¢Current99.3¢4,572.99Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
NoValue$3.5KPnL+$91Avg96.3¢Current98.9¢3,529.5Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
NoValue$3.5KPnL+$183Avg78.1¢Current82.5¢4,200Shares
Showing 8 of 77 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Jest55: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +3.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −240.7%, n=100 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+104.7% over 11 fills); +$152.9K lifetime P&L, $6.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.