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Trader profile

hellonewday

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$39.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…4 open · 75% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,872Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.3% / $95% interval −72.5% to +68.0%135 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.3%n=135 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$437
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.6K
Concentration
76.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
207
Showing the largest 8 of 207
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Buenos Aires 2: Murkel Dellien vs Hernan Casanova
Murkel Dellien · YesValue$333PnL+$170Avg49¢Current100¢333.15Shares
LoL: Bubliki vs ØTF - Game 2 Winner
ØTF · NoValue$94PnL+$23Avg73.9¢Current98.2¢96Shares
W15 Monastir: Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta vs Miroslava Medvedeva
Miroslava Medvedeva · NoValue$2PnL+$0.96Avg43¢Current99.5¢1.7Shares
ITF Tianjin: Sae Noguchi vs Junhan Zhang
Junhan Zhang · NoValue$0.95PnL+$0.60Avg37¢Current100¢0.95Shares
ITF Koksijde: Federica Urgesi vs Amelie Van Impe
Federica Urgesi · YesValue$0.82PnL+$0.41Avg50¢Current100¢0.82Shares
Will Bromley FC vs. Reading FC end in a draw?
YesValue$0.77PnL+$0.05Avg94¢Current100¢0.77Shares
W50 Plovdiv: Nellie Taraba Wallberg vs Sapfo Sakellaridi
Sapfo Sakellaridi · NoValue$0.75PnL+$0.21Avg72¢Current100¢0.75Shares
Vancouver: Emerson Jones vs Carol Zhao
Emerson Jones · YesValue$0.56PnL+$0.35Avg37¢Current100¢0.56Shares
Showing 8 of 207 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet hellonewday: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −2.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −72.5%, n=135 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.3% over 135 fills); +$39.3K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-22.