PolyTrace
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Trader profile

startrader

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$26.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate39.9%188 settled · past 90 days0 open · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded772Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−25.5% / $95% interval −604.6% to +553.5%46 settled fills · 90d window
Culture
−20.7%n=38 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 39.9% · Decided 188 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$0.21
Snapshot cash PnL
−$24.7K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
537
Showing the largest 8 of 537
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
NoValue$0.21PnL+$0.04Avg80.7¢Current100¢0.21Shares
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$6Avg7.8¢Current0¢80.24Shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$34Avg0.5¢Current0¢6,260.3Shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$0.05Avg1¢Current0¢4.99Shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.01Avg0.1¢Current0¢5Shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.05Avg1¢Current0¢5Shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.01Avg0.1¢Current0¢5Shares
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$111Avg73.5¢Current0¢150.65Shares
Showing 8 of 537 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet startrader: 39.9% win rate over 188 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −25.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −604.6%, n=46 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Culture (−20.7% over 38 fills); +$26.3K lifetime P&L, $2M traded, updated 2026-09-23.