PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

neo7777

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$30.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.8%3,633 settled · past 90 days51 open · 11% underwater · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,065Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+6.6% / $95% interval −175.8% to +189.0%62 settled fills · 90d window
Science
+9.8%n=57 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.8% · Decided 3,633 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$17K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$172.9K
Concentration
11.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
2,516
Showing the largest 8 of 2,516
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 24?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$768Avg30.3¢Current50.5¢3,811.22Shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?
YesValue$1.8KPnL+$1.1KAvg38.9¢Current99.5¢1,803.89Shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 24?
YesValue$1.6KPnL+$619Avg23.3¢Current38.5¢4,065.87Shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 24?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$198Avg78.7¢Current93¢1,386.54Shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 24?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$584Avg31.2¢Current68.5¢1,564.12Shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 24?
NoValue$965PnL+$195Avg78.6¢Current98.5¢980.03Shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 24?
NoValue$861PnL−$15Avg84.9¢Current83.5¢1,030.68Shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on September 25?
NoValue$806PnL−$127Avg76.4¢Current66¢1,220.7Shares
Showing 8 of 2,516 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet neo7777: 56.8% win rate over 3,633 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +6.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −175.8%, n=62 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (+9.8% over 57 fills); +$30.9K lifetime P&L, $4.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.