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Trader profile

BiDiFakePolls

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$47.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate55.9%161 settled · past 90 days23 open · 13% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded286Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.1% / $95% interval −221.8% to +181.6%39 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−20.5%n=38 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 55.9% · Decided 161 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$52.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17.1K
Concentration
27.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
97
Showing the largest 8 of 97
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$14.4KPnL+$1KAvg60.9¢Current65.5¢22,000Shares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$10.6KPnL+$50Avg70.2¢Current70.5¢14,970.72Shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$5.5KPnL+$825Avg52.3¢Current61.5¢8,999.93Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$4.1KPnL+$683Avg49.1¢Current58.9¢6,988.96Shares
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
YesValue$3.6KPnL+$1.1KAvg68.8¢Current99.1¢3,669.52Shares
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?
Under · NoValue$2.8KPnL+$362Avg86.8¢Current99.7¢2,809.56Shares
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
YesValue$2KPnL+$84Avg83.9¢Current87.5¢2,308.91Shares
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$413Avg71.1¢Current98.6¢1,499.99Shares
Showing 8 of 97 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet BiDiFakePolls: 55.9% win rate over 161 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −20.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −221.8%, n=39 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−20.5% over 38 fills); +$47.5K lifetime P&L, $1.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.