Last loaded1 day ago
- Current position value
- $0
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$801
- Concentration
- — Largest share of value
- Positions
- 8 All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$0PnL−$127Avg84.2¢Current0¢150.73Shares
All 8 positions shown
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Trader profile
SirFrancisGalton
DirectionalHistorical record
Profitable historically.
Lifetime PnL+$16.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate96.8%402 settled · past 90 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,317Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−0.3% / $95% interval −5.9% to +5.3%33 settled fills · 90d window
- Unmapped
- +1.7%n=19 settled
- Sports
- −2.5%n=14 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 24 hours ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 96.8% · Decided 402 · 90d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
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Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1KOpen
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.2KAdd
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.5KOpen
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$1.1KOpen
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$2.7KAdd
About this wallet
Wallet SirFrancisGalton: 96.8% win rate over 402 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −0.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −5.9%, n=33 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.5% over 14 fills); +$16.7K lifetime P&L, $2.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.