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Trader profile

Kickstand7

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$1.5MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…10 open · 48% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$69.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded262Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.1% / $95% interval −97.6% to +65.4%15 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−14.7%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$400K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$83.5K
Concentration
74.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
70
Showing the largest 8 of 70
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$297.7KPnL+$109.9KAvg50¢Current79.3¢375,618.82Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$77.9KPnL−$109.9KAvg50¢Current20.8¢375,618.82Shares
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
YesValue$19.4KPnL+$12.2KAvg34.9¢Current94.5¢20,526.5Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$1.8KPnL−$2.6KAvg21¢Current8.5¢21,220.6Shares
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$1.3KPnL−$1.9KAvg20.7¢Current8.5¢15,855.79Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$580Avg47.8¢Current92.5¢1,297.69Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$317PnL+$8Avg50¢Current51.2¢618.82Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NoValue$302PnL−$8Avg50¢Current48.8¢618.82Shares
Showing 8 of 70 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Kickstand7: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −16.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −97.6%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−14.7% over 13 fills); +$1.5M lifetime P&L, $69.8M traded, updated 2026-09-21.