PolyTrace
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Trader profile

sep22

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$28.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.7%1,759 settled · past 180 days0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$7.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded677Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−2.3% / $95% interval −128.8% to +124.1%72 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−2.3%n=72 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.7% · Decided 1,759 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$70.6K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
111
Showing the largest 8 of 111
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Newport: Adrian Mannarino vs Remy Bertola
Remy Bertola · NoValue$0PnL−$25Avg28¢Current0¢90.22Shares
Swiss Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Arthur Rinderknech · YesValue$0PnL−$10Avg4.1¢Current0¢238.01Shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
MOUZ · NoValue$0PnL−$255Avg17¢Current0¢1,500Shares
Croatia Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Roman Andres Burruchaga
Flavio Cobolli · YesValue$0PnL−$444Avg37¢Current0¢1,199.99Shares
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
B8 · NoValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg38¢Current0¢3,299.98Shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
Flavio Cobolli · YesValue$0PnL−$561Avg14.8¢Current0¢3,799.96Shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?
YesValue$0PnL−$2KAvg73¢Current0¢2,700Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Zachary Svajda
Zachary Svajda · NoValue$0PnL−$195Avg15¢Current0¢1,299.99Shares
Showing 8 of 111 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet sep22: 49.7% win rate over 1,759 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −2.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −128.8%, n=72 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−2.3% over 72 fills); −$28.3K lifetime P&L, $7.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.