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Trader profile

0xd146…9bf0

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$48.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate29.9%348 settled · past 90 days4 open · 12% underwater · 20 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded917Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.4% / $95% interval −28.0% to +27.2%23 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−6.1%n=21 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 29.9% · Decided 348 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded20 hours ago
Current position value
$2.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$277.1K
Concentration
42.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
398
Showing the largest 8 of 398
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$1KPnL−$10Avg52¢Current51.5¢2,000Shares
NoValue$890PnL−$10Avg45¢Current44.5¢1,999.96Shares
YesValue$385PnL+$185Avg20¢Current38.5¢1,000Shares
YesValue$115PnL−$5Avg12¢Current11.5¢1,000Shares
OverValue$0PnL−$270AvgCurrent2,999.35Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$11Avg29¢Current37.9Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$320Avg16¢Current2,000Shares
Denmark · YesValue$0PnL−$860Avg43¢Current1,998.9Shares
Showing 8 of 398 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xd14650532e11324cdaca20f45666486c24679bf0: 29.9% win rate over 348 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −0.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −28.0%, n=23 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.1% over 21 fills); −$48.6K lifetime P&L, $3.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.