PolyTrace
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Trader profile

NX-Trading

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$56.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…6 open · 1% underwater · 22 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded365Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−11.8% / $95% interval −207.1% to +183.5%189 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.0%n=187 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded22 hours ago
Current position value
$1.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.3K
Concentration
47.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
74
Showing the largest 8 of 74
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$598PnL+$340Avg25.5¢Current59¢1,014.31Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
YesValue$221PnL+$101Avg37.1¢Current68.5¢322.95Shares
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Asian Qualifier Playoffs
FlyQuest · NoValue$192PnL+$42Avg39¢Current50¢383.77Shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
YesValue$123PnL+$53Avg23¢Current40.5¢304.62Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$98PnL+$20Avg74.5¢Current93.2¢105.53Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$14PnL−$3Avg50.1¢Current40.5¢35.06Shares
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-05?
YesValue$0.70PnL+$0.26Avg63¢Current100¢0.7Shares
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$0.61PnL−$0.77Avg6¢Current2.7¢22.85Shares
Showing 8 of 74 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet NX-Trading: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −11.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −207.1%, n=189 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.0% over 187 fills); −$56.4K lifetime P&L, $2.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.