PolyTrace
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Trader profile

smallf

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$106.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50.7%144 settled · past 90 days17 open · 99% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded305Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.6% / $95% interval −154.9% to +135.7%54 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−9.0%n=30 settled
Culture
−12.6%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50.7% · Decided 144 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$13.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$152.9K
Concentration
30%
Largest share of value
Positions
121
Showing the largest 8 of 121
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$4KPnL−$1.3KAvg81.2¢Current61.4¢6,434.39Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
YesValue$3.8KPnL−$4.3KAvg67.2¢Current31.5¢12,000.08Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$1.8KPnL−$14KAvg67.3¢Current7.5¢23,456.45Shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL−$642Avg22.2¢Current15.1¢8,983.6Shares
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
YesValue$727PnL−$2.8KAvg92.6¢Current19¢3,824.07Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$484PnL+$68Avg85¢Current98.8¢489.99Shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
YesValue$328PnL−$1.4KAvg28.5¢Current5.5¢5,956.92Shares
Iran leadership change by December 31?
YesValue$290PnL+$290Avg0¢Current14.5¢2,000Shares
Showing 8 of 121 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet smallf: 50.7% win rate over 144 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −9.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −154.9%, n=54 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−9.0% over 30 fills); +$106.6K lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.