PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xd104…710b

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$135.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 12 settled so far0 open · 11 days ago
Lifetime volume$933.9K457 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded22Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−19.5% / $95% interval −41.0% to +2.0%39 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−19.5%n=39 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$264K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
Aryna Sabalenka · YesValue$0PnL−$49.8KAvg56.8¢Current0¢87,722.78Shares
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul · NoValue$0PnL−$14.6KAvg62¢Current0¢23,497.56Shares
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider
Jessica Pegula · YesValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg74.2¢Current0¢1,779.22Shares
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Pablo Llamas Ruiz · YesValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg49.7¢Current0¢3,587.17Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic
Felix Auger-Aliassime · YesValue$0PnL−$61.7KAvg41¢Current0¢150,456.05Shares
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska
Anna Kalinskaya · YesValue$0PnL−$23.4KAvg58.4¢Current0¢40,119.52Shares
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala
Naomi Osaka · YesValue$0PnL−$24.4KAvg62¢Current0¢39,375.05Shares
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk
Elina Svitolina · YesValue$0PnL−$43.9KAvg46¢Current0¢95,355.74Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0xd104864972b90aceacc10217da937173d859710b: edge −19.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −41.0%, n=39 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−19.5% over 39 fills); −$135.6K lifetime P&L, $933.9K traded, updated 2026-09-24.