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Trader profile

drde

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$18.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate31.9%827 settled · past 90 days4 open · >99% underwater · 21 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,155Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−29.0% / $95% interval −111.2% to +53.2%15 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−28.6%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 31.9% · Decided 827 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded21 hours ago
Current position value
$1.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$94.7K
Concentration
98.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
234
Showing the largest 8 of 234
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
YesValue$1.3KPnL−$550Avg18¢Current12.5¢9,999.97Shares
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
YesValue$21PnL−$24Avg28.6¢Current13.3¢154.94Shares
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
YesValue$2PnL+$0.05Avg60¢Current61.5¢3.13Shares
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$2PnL−$28Avg59.4¢Current3.2¢50Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$608Avg38¢Current0¢1,599.95Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$700Avg28¢Current0¢2,499.41Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$1.9KAvg48¢Current0¢3,999.99Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$50Avg40¢Current0¢125Shares
Showing 8 of 234 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet drde: 31.9% win rate over 827 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −29.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −111.2%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−28.6% over 10 fills); −$18.2K lifetime P&L, $2.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.