PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Fishcup

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$282Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet20 open · 65% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$12.1K79 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded31Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$777
Snapshot cash PnL
−$334
Concentration
17.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
25
Showing the largest 8 of 25
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
NoValue$139PnL+$39Avg32¢Current44.5¢312.5Shares
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YesValue$74PnL+$24Avg27¢Current40¢185.19Shares
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
NoValue$55PnL+$5Avg89¢Current97.1¢56.18Shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
YesValue$54PnL+$4Avg23¢Current25¢217.39Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
NoValue$53PnL+$3Avg87¢Current92.5¢57.47Shares
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
YesValue$52PnL+$2Avg25¢Current26¢200Shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$49PnL−$0.81Avg31¢Current30.5¢161.29Shares
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
YesValue$48PnL−$2Avg11¢Current10.5¢454.55Shares
Showing 8 of 25 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Fishcup: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$282 lifetime P&L, $12.1K traded, updated 2026-09-21.