Last loaded16 hours ago
- Current position value
- $0
- Snapshot cash PnL
- $0
- Concentration
- — Largest share of value
- Positions
- 0 All shown
No current positions
The confirmed portfolio snapshot returned an empty book.
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Trader profile
bardeen
DirectionalHistorical record
Loss-making historically.
Lifetime PnL−$111KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45%20 settled · past 90 days
Lifetime volume$633K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded18Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−21.7% / $95% interval −40.9% to −2.5%69 settled fills · 90d window
- Sports
- −11.1%n=59 settled
- Unmapped
- −40.0%n=10 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 1 hour ago
How this record is measured
Win rate 45% · Decided 20 · 90d
Observed activity
Where and how this wallet trades
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
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Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$1.4KAdd
✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$1.3KAdd
no result — Market settled — no result snapshot for this wallet yet.
$2.5K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$3.2K✗ lost — Market settled and this position lost.
$1.5KAbout this wallet
Wallet bardeen: 45% win rate over 20 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −21.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −40.9%, n=69 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.1% over 59 fills); −$111K lifetime P&L, $633K traded, updated 2026-09-23.