PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0xcfcd…0404

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$126Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet1 open · 100% underwater · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$23K22 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded19Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$3
Snapshot cash PnL
−$18
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
12
Showing the largest 8 of 12
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$3PnL−$5Avg1.3¢Current0.5¢615.38Shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.1¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.1¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg53¢Current0¢1.89Shares
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg5.8¢Current0¢17.24Shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg0.1¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Trump kiss by May 31?
NoValue$0PnL−$3Avg0.1¢Current0¢3,000Shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$1Avg1.6¢Current0¢62.13Shares
Showing 8 of 12 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet 0xcfcd986a1425eb8da481efd51239ef8e3af50404: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$126 lifetime P&L, $23K traded, updated 2026-09-22.