Complete52 minutes ago
- Current position value
- $0
- Snapshot cash PnL
- −$17K
- Concentration
- — Largest share of value
- Positions
- 168 Showing the largest 8 of 168
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Showing 8 of 168 positions by current value
← Back to wallets
Trader profile
Musclehill
Market makersHistorical record
Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.
Lifetime PnL−$6.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$200.8K748 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded352Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price
How this is computedProfit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.
−17.4% / $95% interval −38.7% to +3.9%12 settled fills · 90d window
- Sports
- −14.2%n=11 settled
A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.
This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.
Measured 24 minutes ago
How this record is measured
Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.
Observed activity
How this wallet provides liquidity
Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.
No category data for this wallet.
No tracked trading behavior yet.
Current holdings
Sources
Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.
Results by category
Sources
Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…
Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.
Recent activity
Whale activity over 30 days
Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.
Loading tracked activity…
Large trades
Recent large trades
Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations
About this wallet
Wallet Musclehill: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −17.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −38.7%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−14.2% over 11 fills); −$6.2K lifetime P&L, $200.8K traded, updated 2026-09-24.