PolyTrace
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Trader profile

NM-P

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$90.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.6%31,831 settled · past 90 days108 open · 23% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$138.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,772Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.8% / $95% interval −6.1% to +7.8%825 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+2.6%n=59 settled
Sports
+0.7%n=766 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.6% · Decided 31,831 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded1 day ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$51K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.8M
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
9.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-09-22?
NoValue$4.9KPnL+$2KAvg51.8¢Current87.5¢5,553.48Shares
Eagles vs. Bears
Eagles · YesValue$2KPnL+$18Avg66.9¢Current67.5¢3,031.93Shares
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?
NoValue$1.8KPnL−$40Avg44.5¢Current43.5¢4,085.31Shares
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?
NoValue$1.8KPnL+$423Avg39.6¢Current52¢3,399Shares
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5
Under · NoValue$1.6KPnL+$197Avg55.6¢Current63.5¢2,500Shares
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 44.5
Over · YesValue$1.5KPnL−$81Avg48.1¢Current45.5¢3,193.2Shares
US Open, Qualification ATP: Lukas Neumayer vs Oliver Crawford
Oliver Crawford · NoValue$1.3KPnL−$66Avg52.5¢Current50¢2,645.52Shares
Los Cabos Open: Moise Kouame vs Grigor Dimitrov
Grigor Dimitrov · NoValue$1.3KPnL−$363Avg64.5¢Current50¢2,500Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet NM-P: 53.6% win rate over 31,831 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +0.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.1%, n=825 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+0.7% over 766 fills); +$90.2K lifetime P&L, $138.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.